2024
Hansen, K. A., M. A. Janiga, S. J. Majumdar, and B. P. Kirtman, 2024: Impact of MJO propagation speed on active tropical cyclone activity periods. Geophys. Res. Lett., 51, 8 pp, https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL106872.
Nolan, D. S., S. Nebylitsa, B. D. McNoldy, and S. J. Majumdar, 2024: Modulation of tropical cyclone intensification by mesoscale asymmetries. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 150, 28 pp, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4602.
Takahashi, T., and D. S. Nolan, 2024: The vortex structure and near-surface winds of Typhoon Faxai (2019) during landfall. Part I: Observational analysis. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 150, 22 pp, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4641.
Takahashi, T., D. S. Nolan, and B. D. McNoldy, 2024: The vortex structure and near-surface winds of Typhoon Faxai (2019) during landfall. Part II: Evaluation of WRF simulations. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 150, 25 pp, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4663.
2023
Lawton, Q. A., and S. J. Majumdar, 2023: Convectively coupled Kelvin waves and tropical cyclogenesis: Connections through convection and moisture. Mon. Wea. Rev., 151, 1647-1666, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-23-0005.1.
Majumdar, S. J., L. Magnusson, P. Bechtold, J.-R. Bidlot, and J. D. Doyle, 2023: Advanced tropical cyclone prediction using the experimental global ECMWF and operational regional COAMPS-TC systems. Mon. Wea. Rev., 151, 2029-2048, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-22-0236.1.
Majumdar, S. J., S. Nebylitsa, P. J. Klotzbach, C. Masiello, and Z. R. Michael, 2023: North Atlantic tropical cyclone intensification: Regional environmental drivers and trends. Geophys. Res. Lett., 50, 10 pp, https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL104803.
Molina, R., and I. Rudik, 2023: The social value of predicting hurricanes. CESifo Working Papers, https://doi.org/10.31235/osf.io/sqtjr.
Nebylitsa, S., S. J. Majumdar, and D. S. Nolan, 2023: Revisiting environmental wind and moisture calculations in the context of tropical cyclone intensification. Wea. Forecasting, 38, 2077-2094, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-23-0045.1.
Rozoff, C. M., D. S. Nolan, G. H. Bryan, E. A. Hendricks, and J. C. Knievel, 2023: Large eddy simulations of tropical cyclone boundary layers at landfall in an idealized urban environment. J. Appl. Meteorol. and Climatol., 62, 1457-1478, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-23-0024.1.
Wadler, J. B., D. S. Nolan, J. A. Zhang, L. K. Shay, J. B. Olson, and J. J. Cione, 2023: The effect of advection on the three-dimensional distribution of turbulent kinetic energy and its generation in idealized tropical cyclone simulations. J. Adv. Mod. Earth Sys., 15, e2022MS003230, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS003230.
Wu, S.-N., B. J. Soden, and G. J. Alaka, 2023: The influence of radiation on the prediction of tropical cyclone intensification in a forecast model. Geophys. Res. Lett., 50, 10 pp, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL099442.
Zhang, B., B. J. Soden, and G. A. Vecchi, 2023: A vertically-resolved analysis of radiative feedbacks on moist static energy variance in tropical cyclones. J. Climate, 36, 1125-1141, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0199.1.
2022
Evans, S. D., K. Broad, A. Cairo, S. J. Majumdar, B. D. McNoldy, B. Millet, and L. Rauk, 2022: An interdisciplinary approach to evaluate public comprehension of the "Cone of Uncertainty" graphic. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 103, 2214-2221, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0250.1.
Evans, R. C., and D. S. Nolan, 2022: The spatiotemporal evolution of the diurnal cycle of two WRF simulations of tropical cyclones. J. Atmos. Sci., 79, 1021-1043, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-21-0100.1.
Hansen, K. A., S. J. Majumdar, B. P. Kirtman, and M. A. Janiga, 2022: Testing vertical wind shear and nonlinear MJO/ENSO interactions as predictors for subseasonal Atlantic tropical cyclone forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 37, 267-281, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-21-0107.1.
Hlywiak, J., and D. S. Nolan, 2022: The evolution of asymmetries in the tropical cyclone boundary layer wind field during landfall. Mon. Wea. Rev., 150, 529-549, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-21-0191.1.
Hlywiak, J., and D. S. Nolan, 2022: Targeted artifical cooling to weaken tropical cyclones would be futile. Commun. Earth Environ., 3, 8 pp, https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00519-1.
Lawton, Q. A., S. J. Majumdar, K. Dotterer, C. D. Thorncroft, and C. J. Schreck III, 2022: The influence of convectively coupled Kelvin waves on African easterly waves in a Lagrangian framework. Mon. Wea. Rev., 150, 2055-2072, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-21-0321.1.
Millet, B., S. J. Majumdar, A. Cairo, B. D. McNoldy, S. D. Evans, and K. Broad, 2022: Exploring the impact of visualization design on non-expert interpretation of hurricane forecast path. Int'l J. Human Computer Interaction, 38, 16 pp, https://doi.org/10.1080/10447318.2022.2121036.
Nolan, D. S., and M. J. Onderlinde, 2022: The representation of spiral gravity waves in a mesoscale model with increasing horizontal and vertical resolution. J. Adv. Mod. Earth Sys., 14, 22 pp, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022MS002989.
2021
Bucci, L. R., S. J. Majumdar, R. Atlas, G. D. Emmitt, and S. Greco, 2021: Understanding the response of tropical cyclone structure to the assimilation of synthetic wind profiles. Mon. Wea. Rev., 149, 2031-2047, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0153.1.
Dai, Y., S. J. Majumdar, and D. S. Nolan, 2021: Tropical cyclone resistance to strong environmental shear. J. Atmos. Sci., 78, 1275-1293, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-20-0231.1.
Hendricks, E. A., J. C. Knievel, and D. S. Nolan, 2021: Evaluation of boundary layer and urban canopy parameterizations for simulating wind in Miami during Hurricane Irma (2017). Mon. Wea. Rev., 149, 2321-2349, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0278.1.
Hlywiak, J., and D. S. Nolan, 2021: The response of the near-surface tropical cyclone wind field to inland surface roughness length and soil moisture content during and after landfall. J. Atmos. Sci., 78, 983-1000, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-20-0211.1.
Jaimes de la Cruz, B., L. K. Shay, J. B. Wadler, and J. E. Rudzin, 2021: On the hyperbolicity of the bulk air-sea heat flux functions: Insights into the efficiency of air-sea moisture disequilibrium for tropical cyclone intensification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 149, 1517-1534, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0324.1.
Majumdar, S. J., J. Sun, B. Golding, P. Joe, J. Dudhia, O. Caumont, K. Gouda, P. Steinle, B. Vincendon, J. Wang and N. Yussouf, 2020: Multiscale forecasting of high-impact weather: Current status and future challenges. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 102, 635-659, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0111.1.
Molina, R., D. Letson, B. D. McNoldy, P. Mozumder, and M. A. Varkony, 2021: Striving for improvement: The perceived value of improving hurricane forecast accuracy. Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 102, 1408-1423, https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0179.1.
Nolan, D. S., B. D. McNoldy, and J. Yunge, 2021: Evaluation of the surface wind field over land in WRF simulations of Hurricane Wilma (2005). Part I: Model initialization and simulation validation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 149, 679-695, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0199.1.
Nolan, D. S., B. D. McNoldy, J. Yunge, F. J. Masters, and I. M. Giammanco, 2021: Evaluation of the surface wind field over land in WRF simulations of Hurricane Wilma (2005). Part II: Surface winds, inflow angles, and boundary layer profiles. Mon. Wea. Rev., 149, 697-713, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0201.1.
Wadler, J. B., J. A. Zhang, R. F. Rogers, B. Jaimes de la Cruz, and L. K. Shay, 2021: The rapid intensification of Hurricane Michael (2018): Storm structure and the relationship to environmental and air-sea interactions. Mon. Wea. Rev., 149, 245-267, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-20-0145.1.
Wu, S.-N., B. S. Soden, Y. Miyamoto, D. S. Nolan, and S. A. Buehler, 2021: Using satellite observations to evaluate the relationships between ice condensate, latent heat release, and tropical cyclone intensification in a mesoscale model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 149, 113-129, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-19-0348.1.
Wu, S.-N., B. S. Soden, and D. S. Nolan, 2021: Examining the role of cloud radiative interactions in tropical cyclone development using satellite measurements and WRF simulations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, 2021GL093259, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL093259.
Zhang, B., B. S. Soden, G. A. Vecchi, and W. Yang, 2021: The role of radiative interactions in tropical cyclone development under realistic boundary conditions. J. Climate, 34, 2079-2091, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0574.1.
2020
Curcic, M., and B. K. Haus, 2020: Revised estimates of ocean surface drag in strong winds. Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, 2020GL087647, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL087647.
Hansen, K. A., S. J. Majumdar, and B. P. Kirtman, 2020: Identifying subseasonal variability relevant to Atlantic tropical cyclone activity. Wea. Forecasting, 35, 2001-2024, https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-19-0260.1.
Millet, B., A. Carter, K. Broad, A. Cairo, S. Evans and S. J. Majumdar, 2020: Hurricane risk communication: Visualization and behavioral science concepts. Weather, Climate and Society, 12, 193-211, https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-19-0011.1.
Nolan, D. S., 2020: An investigation of spiral gravity waves radiating from tropical cyclones using a linear, nonhydrostatic model. J. Atmos. Sci., 77, 1733-1759, https://doi.org/10.1175/JAS-D-19-0259.1.
Shi, L., M. Olabarrieta, D. S. Nolan, and J. C. Warner, 2020: Tropical cyclones rainbands can trigger meteotsunamis. Nature Comm., 11, 678, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-14423-9.
Wu, S.-N., B. J. Soden, and G. J. Alaka, 2020: Ice water content as a precursor to tropical cyclone rapid intensification. Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, 2020GL089669, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL089669.
Zhang, J. A., J. P. Dunion, and D. S. Nolan, 2020: In situ observations of the diurnal variation in the boundary layer of mature hurricanes. Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, 2019GL086206, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL086206.
2019
Dai, Y., S. J. Majumdar, and D. S. Nolan, 2019: The outflow-rainband relationship induced by environmental flow around tropical cyclones. J. Atmos. Sci., 76, 1845-1863.
Dunion, J. P., C. D. Thorncroft, and D. S. Nolan, 2019: Tropical cyclone diurnal signals in a hurricane nature run. Mon. Wea. Rev., 147, 363-388.
Evans, R. C., and D. S. Nolan, 2019: Balanced and radiating wave responses to diurbal heating in tropical cyclone-like vortices using a linear nonhydrostatic model. J. Atmos. Sci., 76, 2575-2597.
Hlywiak, J., and D. S. Nolan, 2019: The influence of oceanic barrier layers on tropical cyclone intensity as determined through idealized, coupled numerical simulations. J. Phys. Ocean., 49, 1723-1745.
Klotz, B. W., and D. S. Nolan, 2019: SFMR surface wind undersampling over the tropical cyclone life cycle. Mon. Wea. Rev., 147, 247-268.
Nolan, D. S., Y. Miyamoto, S. Wu, and B. Soden, 2019: On the correlation between total condensate and moist heating in tropical cyclones and applications for diagnosing intensity. Mon. Wea. Rev., 147, 3759-3784.
Pruitt, J. N., A. G. Little, S. J. Majumdar, T. W. Schoener, and D. N. Fisher, 2019: Call-to-Action: A global consortium for tropical cyclone ecology. Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 34, 588-590.
Rudzin, J. E., L. K. Shay, and B. Jaimes de la Cruz, 2019: The impact of the Amazon-Orinoco River plume on enthalpy flux and air-sea interaction within Caribbean Sea tropical cyclones. Mon. Wea. Rev., 147, 931-950.
2018
Annane, B., B. D. McNoldy, S. M. Leidner, R. N. Hoffman, R. Atlas, and S. J. Majumdar, 2018: A study of the HWRF analysis and forecast impact of realistically-simulated CYGNSS observations as scalar wind speeds and as VAM wind vectors. Mon. Wea. Rev., 146, 2221-2236.
Collins, C. O., H. Potter, B. Lund, H. Tamura, and H. C. Graber, 2018: Directional wave spectra observed during intense tropical cyclones. J. Geophys. Res., 123, 773-793.
Donelan, M. A., 2018: On the decrease of the oceanic drag coefficient in high winds. J. Geophys. Res., 123, 1485-1501.
Kelly, P., L. R. Leung, K. Balaguru, W. Xu, B. Mapes, and B. Soden, 2018: Shape of Atlantic tropical cyclone tracks and the Indian monsoon. Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 10746-10755.
Leidner, S. M., B. Annane, B. D. McNoldy, R. N. Hoffman, and R. Atlas, 2018: Variational assimilation of simulated ocean surface winds from the Cyclone Global Navigation Satellite System (CYGNSS) and evaluation using a regional OSSE. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 35, 1571-1584.
Milch, M., K. Broad, B. Orlove, R. Meyer, 2018: Decision science perspectives on hurricane vulnerability: Evidence from the 2010-2012 Atlantic hurricane seasons. Atmosphere, 9, 17pp.
Miyamoto, Y., and D. S. Nolan, 2018: Structural changes preceding rapid intensification in tropical cyclones as shown in a large ensemble of idealized simulations. J. Atmos. Sci., 75, 555-569.
Miyamoto, Y., D. S. Nolan, and N. Sugimoto, 2018: A dynamical mechanism for secondary eyewall formation in tropical cyclones. J. Atmos. Sci., 75, 3965-3986.
Rudzin, J. E., L. K. Shay, and W. E. Johns, 2018: The influence of the barrier layer on SST response during tropical cyclone wind forcing using idealized experiments. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 48, 1471-1478.
Shay, L. K., 2018: Upper ocean structure: Response to strong forcing events. In: Encyclopedia of Ocean Sciences, ed. R. A. Weller, S. A. Thorpe, J. Steele, Elsevier Publishing Company, UK, 3rd Edition, Accepted.
Wadler, J. B., R. F. Rogers, and P. D. Reasor, 2018: The relationship between spatial variations in the structure of convective bursts and tropical cyclone intensification as determined by airborne doppler radar. Mon. Wea. Rev., 146, 761-780.
Wadler, J. B., J. A. Zhang, B. Jaimes de la Cruz, and L. K. Shay, 2018: Downdrafts and the evolution of boundary layer thermodynamics in Hurricane Earl (2010) before and during rapid intensification. Mon. Wea. Rev., 146, 3545-3565.
2017
Bhatia, K. T., D. S. Nolan, A. B. Schumacher, and M. DeMaria, 2017: Improving tropical cyclone intensity forecasts with PRIME. Wea. Forecasting, 32, 1353-1377.
Cohen, Y., N. Harnik, E. Heifetz, D. S. Nolan, D. Tao, and F. Zhang, 2017: On the violation of gradient wind balance at the top of tropical cyclones. Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 8017-8026.
Dai, Y., S. J. Majumdar, and D. S. Nolan, 2017: Secondary eyewall formation in tropical cyclones by outflow-jet-interaction. J. Atmos. Sci., 74, 1941-1958.
Doyle, J. D., J. Moskaitis, J. Feldmeier, R. Ferek, M. Beaubien, M. Bell, D. Cecil, R. Creasey, P. Duran, R. Elsberry, W. Komaromi, J. Molinari, D. Ryglicki, D. Stern, C. Velden, X. Wang, T. Allen, B. Barrett, P. Black, J. Dunion, K. Emanuel, P. Harr, L. Harrison, E. Hendricks, D. Herndon, W. Jeffries, S. J. Majumdar, J. Moore, Z. Pu, R. Rogers, E. Sanabia, G. Tripoli and D.-L. Zhang, 2017: A View of Tropical Cyclones from Above: The Tropical Cyclone Intensity Experiment. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 2113-2134.
Finocchio, P. M., and S. J. Majumdar, 2017: A statistical perspective on wind profiles and vertical wind shear in tropical cyclone environments of the northern hemisphere. Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 361-378.
Finocchio, P. M., and S. J. Majumdar, 2017: The predictability of idealized tropical cyclones in environments with time-varying vertical wind shear. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 9, 2836-2862.
Halliwell, G. R., M. Mehari, L. K. Shay, V. H. Kourafalou, H. Kang, H.-S. Kim, J. Dong, and R. Atlas, 2017: OSSE quantitative assessment of rapid-response pre-storm ocean surveys to improve coupled tropical cyclone prediction. J. Geophys. Res., 122, 5729-5748.
Majumdar, S. J., 2017: Book Review: "Inventing Atmospheric Science: Bjerknes, Rossby, Wexler, and the Foundations of Modern Meteorology" by J. R. Fleming. Amer. J. Physics, 85, 721.
McNoldy, B. D., B. Annane, S. J. Majumdar, J. Delgado, L. Bucci, and R. Atlas, 2017: Impact of assimilating CYGNSS data on tropical cyclone analyses and forecasts in a regional OSSE framework. Marine Tech. Soc. J., 51, 7-15.
Miyamoto, Y., G. H. Bryan, and R. Rotunno, 2017: An analytical model of maximum potential intensity for tropical cyclones incorporating the effect of ocean mixing. Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 10pp.
Nolan, D. S., and J. A. Zhang, 2017: Spiral gravity waves radiating from tropical cyclones. Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 3924-3931.
Onderlinde, M. J., and D. S. Nolan, 2017: The tropical cyclone response to changing wind shear using the method of time-varying point-downscaling. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 9, 24pp.
Otkin, J. A., W. E. Lewis, A. J. Lenzen, B. D. McNoldy, and S. J. Majumdar, 2017: Assessing the accuracy of the cloud and water vapor fields in the Hurricane WRF (HWRF) model using satellite infrared brightness temperatures. Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 2027-2046.
Parsons, D. B., M. Beland, D. Burridge, P. Bougeault, G. Brunet, J. Caughey, M. Charron, H. C. Davies, A. Diongue Niang, V. Ducrocq, P. Gauthier, T. M. Hamill, P. A. Harr, S. C. Jones, R. H. Langland, S. J. Majumdar, B. N. Mills, M. Moncrieff, T. Nakazawa, F. Rabier, J.-L. Redelsperger, R. W. Saunders, M. A. Shapiro, R. Swinbank, I. Szunyogh, C. Thorncroft, A. J. Thorpe, D. Waliser, H. Wernli and Z. Toth, 2017: THORPEX Research and the Science of Prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98, 807-830.
Potter, H., W. M. Drennan, and H. C. Gruber, 2017: Upper ocean cooling and air-sea fluxes under typhoons: A case study. J. Geophys. Res., 122, 7237-7252.
Rogers, R., S. Aberson, D. Cecil, J. Doyle, J. Morgerman, T. Kimberlain, L. K. Shay, and C. Velden, 2017: Re-writing the tropical record books: The extraordinary intensification of Hurricane Patricia (2015). Bull. Amer. Met. Soc., 98, 2091-2112.
Rudzin, J., L. K. Shay, B. Jaimes, and J. K. Brewster, 2017: Upper ocean observations in the eastern Caribbean Sea reveal barrier layer within a warm core eddy. J. Geophys. Res., 122, 1057-1071.
Shimada, U., K. Aonashi, and Y. Miyamoto, 2017: Tropical cyclone intensity change and axisymmetricity deduced from GSMaP. Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 1003-1017.
Soloviev, A. V., R. Lukas, M. A. Donelan, B. K. Haus, and I. Ginis, 2017: Is the state of the air-sea interface a factor in rapid intensification and rapid decline of tropical cyclones?. J. Geophys. Res., 122, 10174-10183.
Wu, S.-N. and B. J. Soden, 2017: Signatures of tropical cyclone intensification in satellite measurements of ice and liquid water content. Mon. Wea. Rev., 145, 4081-4091.
Yoshida, R., Y. Miyamoto, H. Tomita, and Y. Kajikawa, 2017: A numerical experiment for an environmental condition of water vapor for a non-developing disturbance observed in PALAU2010. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 95, 35-47.
2016
Curcic, M., S. S. Chen, and T. M. Ozgokmen, 2016: Hurricane-induced ocean waves and strokes drift and their impacts on surface transport and dispersion in the Gulf of Mexico. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 2773-2781.
Finocchio, P. M., S. J. Majumdar, D. S. Nolan, and M. Iskandarani, 2016: Idealized tropical cyclone responses to the height and depth of environmental vertical wind shear. Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 2155-2175.
Jaimes, B., L. K. Shay, and J. K. Brewster, 2016: Observed air-sea interactions in tropical cyclone Isaac over Loop Current mesoscale eddy features. Dyn. Atmos. Oceans, 76, 306-324.
Judt, F., and S. S. Chen, 2016: Predictability and dynamics of tropical cyclone rapid intensification deduced from high-resolution stochastic ensembles. Mon. Wea. Rev., 144, 4395-4420.
Majumdar, S. J., 2016: A review of targeted observations. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97, 2287-2303.
McCaskill, C., L. K. Shay, J. K. Brewster, and P. Meyers, 2016: Development and assessment of the Systematically merged Pacific Ocean Regional Temperature and Salinity (SPORTS) climatology for oceanic heat content estimations. J. Atmos Ocean Tech., 33, 2259–2272.
Meyers, P. C., L. K. Shay, J. K. Brewster, and B. Jaimes, 2016: Observed ocean thermal response to Hurricanes Gustav and Ike. J. Geophys. Res., 121, 162-179.
Onderlinde, M. J., and D. S. Nolan, 2016: Tropical cyclone-relative environmental helicity and the pathways to intensification in shear. J. Atmos. Sci., 73, 869-890.
Ortiz-Suslow, D. G., B. K. Haus, S. Mehta, and N. J. M. Laxague, 2016: Sea spray generation in very high winds. J. Atmos. Sci., 73, 3975-3995.
Ruf, C., R. Atlas, P. Chang, M. P. Clarizia, J. Garroson, S. Gleason, S. Katzberg, Z. Jelenak, J. Johnson, S. J. Majumdar, A. O’Brien, D. Posselt, A. Ridley, R. Rose and V. Zavorotny, 2015: New ocean winds satellite mission to probe hurricanes and tropical convection. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97, 385-395.
Trumbo, C. W., L. Peek, M. A. Meyer, H. L. Marlatt, E. Gruntfest, B. D. McNoldy, and W. H. Schubert, 2016: A cognitive-affective scale for hurricane risk perception. Risk Analysis, 36, 14pp.
2015
Bhatia, K. T., and D. S. Nolan, 2015: Prediction of intensity model error (PRIME) for Atlantic basin tropical cyclones. Wea. Forecasting, 30, 1845-1865.
Brennan, M. J., D. Kleist, K. Howard and S. J. Majumdar, 2015: The impact of supplemental dropwindsonde data on the structure and intensity of Tropical Storm Karen (2013) in the NCEP Global Forecast System. Mon. Wea. Rev., 30, 683-691.
Colbert, A. J., B. J. Soden, and B. P. Kirtman, 2015: The impact of natural and anthropogenic climate change on western North Pacific tropical cyclone tracks. J. Climate, 28, 1806-1823.
Jaimes, B., and L. K. Shay, 2015: Enhanced wind-driven downwelling flow in warm oceanic eddy features during the intensification of tropical cyclone Isaac (2012): Observations and theory. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 45, 1667-1689.
Jaimes, B., L. K. Shay, and E. W. Uhlhorn, 2015: Enthalpy and momentum fluxes during Hurricane Earl relative to underlying ocean features. Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, 111-131.
Judt, F., and S. S. Chen, 2015: A new aircraft hurricane wind climatology and applications in assessing the predictive skill of tropical cyclone intensity using high-resolution ensemble forecasts. Geopyhs. Res. Lett., 142, 6043-6050.
Komaromi, W. A. and S. J. Majumdar, 2015: Ensemble-based error and predictability metrics associated with tropical cyclogenesis. Part II: Wave-Relative Framework. Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, 1665-1686.
Moon, Y., and D. S. Nolan, 2015: Spiral rainbands in a numerical simulation of Hurricane Bill (2009). Part I: Structures and comparisons to observations. J. Atmos. Sci., 72, 164-190.
Moon, Y., and D. S. Nolan, 2015: Spiral rainbands in a numerical simulation of Hurricane Bill (2009). Part II: Propagation of inner rainbands. J. Atmos. Sci., 72, 191-215.
Potter, H., H. C. Graber, N. J. Williams, C. O. Collins III, R. J. Ramos, and W. M. Drennan, 2015: In-situ measurements of momentum fluxes in typhoons. J. Atmos. Sci., 72, 104-118.
Potter, H., C. O. Collins III, W. M. Drennan, and H. C. Graber, 2015: Observations od wind stress direction during Typhoon Chaba (2010). Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 9898-9905.
Romeiser, R., H. C. Graber, M. J. Caruso, R. E. Jensen, D. T. Walker, and A. T. Cox, 2015: A new approach to ocean wave parameter estimates from C-band ScanSAR images. IEEE Trans. Geosci. and Remote Sensing, 53, 1320-1345.
Stern, D. P., J. L. Vigh, D. S. Nolan, and F. Zhang, 2015: Revisiting the relationship between eyewall contraction and intensification. J. Atmos. Sci., 72, 1283-1306.
Wu, T.-C., C. S. Velden, S. J. Majumdar, H. Liu, and J. L. Anderson, 2015: Understanding the influence of assimilating subsets of enhanced atmospheric motion vectors on numerical analyses and forecasts of tropical cyclone track and intensity with an ensemble Kalman filter. Mon. Wea. Rev., 143, 2506-2531.
2014
Collins, C. O., B. Lund, R. Ramos, W. M. Drennan, and H. C. Graber, 2014: Wave measurement inter-comparison and platform evaluation during the ITOP (2010) experiment. J. Atmos. Ocean. Tech., 31, 2309-2329, doi: 10.1175/JTECH-D-13-00149.1.
D'Asaro, E. A., P. G. Black, L. R. Centurioni, Y.-T. Chang, S. S. Chen, R. Foster, H. C. Graber, P. Harr, V. Hormann, R.-C. Lien, I.-I. Lin, T. B. Sanford, T.-Y. Tang, and C.-C. Wu, 2014: Impact of typhoons on the ocean in the Pacific: ITOP. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 95, 1405–1418, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00104.1.
Drennan, W. M., H. C. Graber, C. O. Collins, A. Herrera, H. Potter, R. J. Ramos, and N. J. Williams, 2014: EASI: An air-sea interaction buoy for high winds. J. Atmos. Ocean. Tech., 31, 1397-1409, doi: 10.1175/JTECH-D-13-00201.1.
Halliwell, G. R., V. Kourafalou, M. Le Hénaff, L. K. Shay, and R. Atlas, 2014: OSSE impact of airborne ocean surveys for improving upper-ocean dynamical and thermodynamical forecasts in the Gulf of Mexico. Progress in Oceanogr., 130, 32-46.
Komaromi, W. A., and S. J. Majumdar, 2014: Ensemble-based error and predictability metrics associated with tropical cyclogenesis. Part I: Basin-wide perspective. Mon. Weather Rev., 142, 2879-2898, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-13-00370.1.
Lee, C., and S. Chen, 2014: Stable boundary layer and its impact on tropical cyclone structure in a coupled atmosphere-ocean model. Mon. Weather Rev., 142, 1927-1944, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-13-00122.1.
Majumdar, S. J., and R. D. Torn, 2014: Probabilistic verification of global and mesoscale ensemble forecasts of tropical cyclogenesis. Wea. Forecasting, 29, 1181-1198.
Meyer, R., E. J. Baker, K. Broad, J. Czajkowski, and B. Orlove, 2014: The dynamics of hurricane risk perception: Real-time evidence from the 2012 Atlantic hurricane season. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 95, 1389-1404, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00218.1.
Meyers, P. C., L. K. Shay, and J. K. Brewster, 2014: Development and analysis of the systematically merged Atlantic regional temperature and salinity climatology for ocean heat content estimates. J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol., 31, 131-149.
Nolan, D. S., J. A. Zhang, and E. W. Uhlhorn, 2014: On the limits of estimating the maximum wind speeds in hurricanes. Mon. Weather Rev., 142, 2814-2837, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-13-00337.1.
Onderlinde, M. J., and D. S. Nolan, 2014: Environmental helicity and its effects on development and intensification of tropical cyclones. J. Atmos. Sci., 71, 4308-4320, doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-14-0085.1.
Potter, H., C. O. Collins III, R. J. Ramos, N. J. Williams, W. M. Drennan, H. C. Graber, 2014: In-situ measurements of momentum fluxes in typhoons. J. Atmos. Sci., 72, 104–118, doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-14-0025.1.
Prive, N. C., Y. Xie, S. Koch, R. Atlas, S. J. Majumdar and R. N. Hoffman, 2014: An observing system simulation experiment for the Unmanned Aircraft System data impact on tropical cyclone track forecasts. Mon. Wea. Rev., 142, 4357-4363.
Stern, D. P., J. R. Brisbois, and D. S. Nolan, 2014: An expanded dataset of hurricane eyewall sizes and slopes. J. Atmos. Sci., 71, 2747-2762, doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-13-0302.1.
Wu, T.-C., H. Liu, S. J. Majumdar, C. S. Velden, and J. L. Anderson, 2014: Influence of assimilating satellite-derived atmospheric motion vector observations on numerical analyses and forecasts of tropical cyclone track and intensity. Mon. Weather Rev., 142, 49-71, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-13-00023.1.
2013
Bhatia, K. T., and D. S. Nolan, 2013: Relating the skill of tropical cyclone intensity forecasts to the synoptic environment. Wea. Forecasting, 28, 961-980, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-12-00110.1
Colbert, A. J., B. J. Soden, G. A. Vecchi, and B. P. Kirtman, 2013: The impact of anthropogenic climate change on North American tropical cyclone tracks. J. Climate, 26, 4088-4095, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00342.1
DeVries, L., S. J. Majumdar, and D. A. Paley, 2013: Observationally-based optimization of coordinated sampling trajectories for recursive estimation of a strong, spatially varying flowfield. J. Intelligent and Robotic Systems, 67, 527-544.
Hoover, B. T., C. S. Velden, and S. J. Majumdar, 2013: Physical mechanisms underlying selected adaptive sampling techniques for tropical cyclones. Mon. Weather Rev., 141, 4008-4027, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-12-00269.1.
Kerns, B. W., and S. S. Chen, 2013: Cloud clusters and tropical cyclongenesis: Developing and non-developing systems and their large-scale environment. Mon. Weather Rev., 141, 192-210, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-11-00239.1.
Komaromi, W. A., 2013: An investigation of composite dropsonde profiles for developing and nondeveloping tropical waves during the 2010 PREDICT field campaign. J. Atmos. Sci., 70, 542-558, doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-12-052.1.
Majumdar, S. J., M. J. Brennan, and K. Howard, 2013: The impact of dropwindsonde and supplemental rawindsonde observations on track forecasts for Hurricane Irene (2011). Wea. Forecasting, 28, 1385-1403, doi: 10.1175/WAF-D-13-00018.1.
Meyer, R., K. Broad, B. Orlove, and N. Petrovic, 2013: Dynamic simulation as an approach to understanding hurricane risk response: Insights from the Stormview Lab. Risk Analysis, 33, 1532-1552.
Nolan, D. S., R. Atlas, K. T. Bhatia, and L. R. Bucci, 2013: Development and validation of a hurricane nature run using the Joint OSSE Nature Run and the WRF model. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 5, 24pp., doi: 10.1002/jame.20031.
Rappin, E. D., D. S. Nolan, and S. J Majumdar, 2013: A highly configurable vortex initialization method for tropical cyclones. Mon. Weather Rev., 141, 3556-3575, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-12-00266.1.
Solis, D., L. Perruso, J. del Corral, B. Stoffle, and D. Letson, 2013: Measuring the initial economic effects of hurricanes on commercial fish production: The U.S. Gulf of Mexico grouper (Serranidae) fishery. Natural Hazards, 66, 271-289.
Uhlhorn, E., and L. K. Shay, 2013 Loop Current mixed layer energy response to Hurricane Lili (2002) Part II: Idealized numerical simulations. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 43, 1173-1192, doi: 10.1175/JPO-D-12-0203.1.
Williams, G. J., R. K. Taft, B. D. McNoldy, and W. H. Schubert, 2013: Shock-like structures in the tropical cyclone boundary layer. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 5, 16pp., doi: 10.1002/jame.20028.
2012
Braun, S. A., J. A. Sippel, D. S. Nolan, 2012: The impact of dry midlevel air on hurricane intensity in idealized simulations with no mean flow, J. Atmos. Sci., 69, 236-257, doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-10-05007.1.
Colbert, A. J., and B. J. Soden, 2012: Climatological variations in North Atlantic tropical cyclones. J. Climate, 25, 657-673, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00034.1.
Donelan, M. A., M. Curcic, S. S. Chen, and A. K. Magnusson, 2012: Modeling waves and wind stress, J. Geophys. Res., 117, C00J23, doi:10.1029/2011JC007787.
Hendricks, E. A., B. D. McNoldy, and W. H. Schubert, 2012: Observed inner-core structural variability in Hurricane Dolly (2008). Mon. Weather Rev., 140, 4066-4077, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-12-00018.1.
Kelly, D. L., D. Letson, F. Nelson, D. S. Nolan and D. Solís, 2012: Evolution of subjective hurricane risk perceptions: A Bayesian approach. J. Econ. Behav. Organ., 81, 644-663.
Lee, C.-Y., and S. S. Chen, 2012: Symmetric and asymmetric structures of hurricane boundary layer in coupled atmosphere-wave-ocean models and observations. J. Atmos. Sci., 69, 3576-3594, doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-12-046.1.
Montgomery, M. T., C. A. Davis, T. Dunkerton, Z. Wang, C. S. Velden, R. D. Torn, S. J. Majumdar, F. Zhang, R. Smith, L. Bosart, M. Bell, J. Haase, and M. Boothe, 2012: The Pre-Depression Investigation of Cloud systems in the Tropics (PREDICT) Experiment: Scientific Basis, New analysis tools and some first results. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 93, 153-172, doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00046.1
Musgrave, K. D., R. K. Taft, J. L. Vigh, B. D. McNoldy, and W. H. Schubert, 2012: Time evolution of the intensity and size of tropical cyclones. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 4, M08001, doi:10.1029/2011MS000104.
Nolan, D. S., and M. G. McGauley, 2012: Tropical cyclogenesis in wind shear: Climatological relationships and physical processes. To appear in Cyclones: Formation, Triggers, and Control. Kazuyoshi Oouchi and Hironori Fudeyasu, eds., Nova Science Publishers, Happauge, New York.
Rozoff, C. M., D. S. Nolan, J. P. Kossin, F. Zhang, and J. Fang, 2012: The roles of an expanding wind field and inertial stability in tropical cyclone secondary eyewall formation. J. Atmos. Sci., 69, 2621-2643, doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-11-0326.1.
Stern, D. P., and D. S. Nolan, 2012: On the height of the warm core in tropical cyclones. J. Atmos. Sci., 69, 1657-1680, doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-11-010.1.
Uhlhorn, E., and D. S. Nolan, 2012: Observational undersampling tropical cyclones and implications for estimated intensity. Mon. Weather Rev., 140, 825-840, doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-11-00073.1
Uhlhorn, E., and L. K. Shay, 2012: Loop Current mixed layer response to Hurricane Lili (2002) Part I: Observations. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 42, 400-419.
Zhang, J. A., and W. M. Drennan, 2012: An observational study of vertical eddy diffusivity in the hurricane boundary layer. J. Atmos. Sci., 69, 3223-3236, doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-11-0348.1.
2011
Aberson, S. D., S. J. Majumdar, C. A. Reynolds and B. J. Etherton, 2011: An observing system experiment for tropical cyclone targeting techniques using the Global Forecast System. Mon. Weather Rev., 139, 895-907.
Brennan, M. J. and S. J. Majumdar, 2011: An examination of model track forecast errors for Hurricane Ike (2008) in the Gulf of Mexico. Wea. Forecasting, 26, 848-867.
Halliwell, G., L. K. Shay, J. K. Brewster, and W. J. Teague, Evaluation and sensitivity analysis to an ocean model to hurricane Ivan. Mon. Weather Rev., 139, 921-945.
Jaimes, B., L. K. Shay, and G. Halliwell Jr., The response of quasi-geostrophic oceanic vortices to tropical cyclone forcing. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 41, 1965–1985.
Komaromi, W. A., S. J. Majumdar and E. D. Rappin, 2011: Diagnosing initial condition sensitivity of Typhoon Sinlaku (2008) and Hurricane Ike (2008). Mon. Weather Rev., 139, 3224-3242.
Lee, S. K., and Coauthors, 2011: What caused the significant increase in Atlantic Ocean heat content since the mid-20th century? Geophysical Res. Lett., 38.
Majumdar, S. J., S.-G. Chen, and C.-C. Wu, 2011: Characteristics of Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter adaptive sampling guidance for tropical cyclones. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 137, 503-520.
Majumdar, S. J., S. D. Aberson, C. H. Bishop, C. Cardinali, J. Caughey, A. Doerenbecher, P. Gauthier, R. Gelaro, T. M. Hamill, R. H. Langland, A. C. Lorenc, T. Nakazawa, F. Rabier, C. A. Reynolds, R. Saunders, Y. Song, Z. Toth, C. Velden, M. Weissmann and C.-C. Wu, 2011: Targeted Observations for Improving Numerical Weather Prediction: An Overview. World Weather Research Programme, THORPEX Publication No. 15, 37 pp.
McGauley, M. G., and D. S. Nolan, 2011: Measuring environmental favorability for tropical cyclogenesis by statistical analysis of threshold parameters. J. Climate, 24, 5968-5997.
Nolan, D. S., 2011: Evaluating environmental favorableness for tropical cyclone development with the method of point downscaling. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 3, Art. M08001, 28 pp.
Santorelli, A., R. T. Pinker, A. Bentamy, K. B. Katsaros, W. M. Drennan, A. M. Mestas-Nuñez, J. A. Carton, 2011: Differences between two estimates of air-sea turbulent heat fluxes over the Atlantic Ocean. J. Geophys. Res., 116, C09028, doi:10.1029/2010JC006927.
Stern, D. P., and D. S. Nolan, 2011: On the vertical decay rate of the maximum tangential winds in tropical cyclones. J. Atmos. Sci., 68, 2073-2094.
Yamaguchi, M., D. S. Nolan, M. Iskandarani, S. J. Majumdar, M. S. Peng, and C. A. Reynolds, 2011: Singular vectors for tropical cyclone-like vortices in a nondivergent barotropic framework. J. Atmos Sci., 68, 2273-2291.
2010
Jaimes, B., and L. K. Shay, 2010: Near-inertial wave wake of hurricanes Katrina and Rita over mesoscale oceanic eddies. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 40, 1320-1337. DOI:10.1175/2010JPO4309.1.
Judt, F., and S. S. Chen, 2010: Convectively generated potential vorticity in rainbands and formation of the secondary eyewall in Hurricane Rita of 2005. J. Atmos. Sci., 67, 3581-3599.
Majumdar, S. J. and P. M. Finocchio, 2010: On the ability of global Ensemble Prediction Systems to predict tropical cyclone track probabilities. Wea. Forecasting, 25, 659-680.
Moon, Y., D. S. Nolan, and M. Iskandarani, 2010: On the use of two-dimensional flow to study secondary eyewall formation in tropical cyclones. J. Atmos. Sci., 67, 3765-3773.
Moon, Y., and D. S. Nolan, 2010: The dynamic response of the hurricane wind field to spiral rainband heating. J. Atmos. Sci., 67, 1779-1805.
Moon, Y., and D. S. Nolan, 2010: Do gravity waves transport angular momentum away from hurricanes? J. Atmos. Sci., 67, 117-135.
Rappaport, E. N., J. L. Franklin, M. DeMaria, A. B. Schumacher, L. K. Shay, and E. J. Gibney. Tropical cyclone intensity change before U. S. Gulf coast landfall. Wea. and Forecast, 25, 1380-1396.
Rappin, E. D., D. S. Nolan, and K. A. Emanuel, 2010: Thermodynamic control of tropical cyclogenesis in environments of radiative-convective equilibrium with shear. Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 136, 1954-1971.
Shay, L. K., and J. K. Brewster. Eastern Pacific oceanic heat content estimation for hurricane intensity forecasting. Mon. Weather Rev., 138, 2110-2131.
Shay, L. K., 2010: Air-sea interactions in tropical cyclones. In: Global Perspectives of Tropical Cyclones, 2nd Edition, Eds. J. C. L. Chan, J. Keppert, C. P. Chang, World Scientific Publishing COmpany: Earth System Science Publication Series, London, UK, 93-131.
Solis, D., and D. Letson, 2010: An empirical evaluation of the determinants of household hurricane evacuation choice. J. Dev. Agric. Econ., 2, 188-196.
Yamaguchi, M. and S. J. Majumdar, 2010: Using TIGGE data to diagnose initial perturbations and their growth for tropical cyclone ensemble forecasts. Mon. Weather Rev., 138, 3634-3655.
Yeh, S. W., S. K. Kang, B. P. Kirtman, J. H. Kim, M. H. Kwon, and C. H. Kim, 2010: Decadal change in relationship between western North Pacific tropical cyclone frequency and the tropical Pacific SST. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 106, 179-189.
